Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal are very likely to receive isolated heavy rainfall from Monday till 29 October, said the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) in a forecast. Showers are also expected over Kerala and Mahe from 25 to 27 October.
Over south interior Karnataka on Monday and Tuesday; over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema on 28 and 29 October. Light to moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with thunderstorms and lightning is very likely over Kerala and Mahe, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal and south interior Karnataka during the next five days.
Further, the IMD said that a cyclonic circulation is likely to develop over the southeast Bay of Bengal and the neighbourhood by Tuesday. “It is likely to move westwards. Under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form over central parts of South Bay of Bengal during subsequent 48 hours,” said the IMD.
The southwest monsoon started receding from west Rajasthan and adjoining Gujarat on 6 October, making it the second-most delayed withdrawal since 1975. The withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from northwest India usually begins from 17 September.
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The monsoon withdrawal started on 28 September last year, 9 October in 2019, 29 September in 2018, 27 September in 2017 and 15 September in 2016, according to IMD data. The country received “normal” rainfall during the four-month southwest monsoon season from June to September.
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